Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1201.770289 1358.825351 1531.234852 1734.966255 1969.670231 2232.204581 2548.983373
2025-12-07 931.304312 1134.815420 1377.778867 1690.954623 2086.420687 2572.464174 3220.073923
2025-12-14 779.315709 996.890601 1271.311201 1646.101625 2149.682244 2810.024316 3753.233308
2025-12-21 668.588467 888.668820 1178.615759 1593.441401 2179.648034 2990.414723 4217.689700
2025-12-28 619.197167 851.889285 1170.771087 1646.762258 2351.436106 3375.704393 5013.514047
2026-01-04 570.713258 809.012275 1146.978744 1670.619686 2478.491704 3706.208229 5769.311148
2026-01-11 528.202037 769.041963 1121.302647 1685.825872 2590.197542 4022.068798 6542.114732
2026-01-18 491.316182 732.967423 1096.511009 1697.501617 2694.521003 4334.766751 7350.435573
2026-01-25 466.388395 712.170098 1092.058669 1739.211434 2849.939519 4747.276487 8389.858533
2026-02-01 439.890245 686.106305 1076.184340 1759.302743 2969.260733 5109.909595 9390.535883
2026-02-08 413.936227 658.382130 1054.610668 1766.570634 3065.360821 5440.508461 10377.885619
2026-02-15 392.695472 636.412921 1040.231151 1784.074427 3180.484188 5818.216152 11515.366710
2026-02-22 374.473606 618.697202 1032.628154 1815.006311 3328.375158 6286.046277 12938.826668
2026-03-01 345.480302 580.223045 985.840932 1769.620078 3325.292986 6456.749879 13754.909985
2026-03-08 319.286087 544.485974 940.701934 1722.356873 3312.044300 6602.983970 14537.856036
2026-03-15 294.534863 509.409667 893.825373 1666.956894 3275.459047 6694.204578 15206.384268
2026-03-22 287.125659 505.174519 903.282530 1723.056082 3476.954566 7328.215094 17309.408024
2026-03-29 276.225730 493.574040 897.778358 1748.160520 3614.697042 7838.180860 19199.222065
2026-04-05 265.050928 480.572378 888.423913 1764.162695 3733.924134 8321.451683 21115.039061
2026-04-12 254.286980 467.536705 877.883417 1776.450246 3845.916916 8802.871750 23124.431197
2026-04-19 247.667741 462.055772 881.869260 1820.350009 4036.450919 9505.495687 25917.246641
2026-04-26 239.102589 452.078252 875.878632 1841.498602 4175.153412 10096.930637 28512.273451
2026-05-03 229.790482 439.933348 864.436099 1849.149338 4281.646697 10619.754969 31014.277802